Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MANA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-30 0.111521 0.128978 0.148253 0.171110 0.197480 0.226952 0.262399
2025-12-07 0.081297 0.103991 0.131632 0.167772 0.213799 0.270490 0.345696
2025-12-14 0.065117 0.089446 0.121205 0.165696 0.226454 0.306603 0.420542
2025-12-21 0.055574 0.080899 0.115878 0.167713 0.242637 0.347143 0.504307
2025-12-28 0.050144 0.076752 0.115342 0.175376 0.266518 0.399922 0.610539
2026-01-04 0.045112 0.072223 0.113297 0.180034 0.285899 0.447674 0.714430
2026-01-11 0.040863 0.068161 0.111199 0.183958 0.304097 0.495038 0.822628
2026-01-18 0.036838 0.063827 0.107979 0.185417 0.318116 0.536830 0.926108
2026-01-25 0.032751 0.058804 0.102923 0.183015 0.325113 0.567428 1.013796
2026-02-01 0.028702 0.053297 0.096327 0.177026 0.324974 0.585500 1.081240
2026-02-08 0.026554 0.050903 0.094839 0.179813 0.340508 0.632206 1.204563
2026-02-15 0.024391 0.048199 0.092443 0.180562 0.352211 0.672948 1.320976
2026-02-22 0.022673 0.046180 0.091168 0.183428 0.368518 0.724490 1.464982
2026-03-01 0.020384 0.042763 0.086837 0.179841 0.371869 0.751725 1.564696
2026-03-08 0.018521 0.039976 0.083409 0.177615 0.377584 0.783993 1.677915
2026-03-15 0.017299 0.038377 0.082193 0.179777 0.392507 0.836254 1.838342
2026-03-22 0.016742 0.038135 0.083757 0.187989 0.421121 0.919781 2.074810
2026-03-29 0.015943 0.037257 0.083853 0.192981 0.443218 0.991649 2.293618
2026-04-05 0.015144 0.036282 0.083621 0.197187 0.463977 1.062661 2.518305
2026-04-12 0.014217 0.034897 0.082311 0.198750 0.478809 1.121888 2.722275
2026-04-19 0.013092 0.032906 0.079387 0.196176 0.483606 1.158588 2.876950
2026-04-26 0.011833 0.030439 0.075073 0.189758 0.478424 1.171342 2.974953
2026-05-03 0.011253 0.029605 0.074599 0.192744 0.496677 1.241931 3.223999